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Tech Stocks Soar, Eyes on Nvidia's Earnings Amid AI Boom

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Benjamin Hughes

May 6, 2024 - 12:22 pm

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Tech Giants Rally Ahead of Nvidia's Anticipated Earnings Report

(Bloomberg) -- A recent wave of optimism has surged through the tech industry as most leading technology corporations have reported earnings that highlight a robust profit growth trajectory. However, there remains one major player whose financial performance is highly awaited: Nvidia Corp.

The AI Computing Powerhouse

Nvidia, a company renowned for producing advanced chips that power artificial intelligence (AI) computing, has become a pivotal name in a market that is increasingly fascinated by the rapid growth of AI technology. Their financial results are eagerly anticipated and are expected to be disclosed on May 22nd. This announcement will follow a series of strong earnings displays from other technology behemoths, showcasing surging profits and escalating demand for AI and cloud computing services and indicating heavy ongoing investment in AI-centric hardware.

With the sector in a buoyant mood, Mike Bailey, director of research at Fulton Breakefield Broenniman LLC, remarked on the situation. "Massive buyers of chips are not just maintaining their purchase volumes; they're ramping them up. The big question hanging over Nvidia is whether their sales will reflect this increased demand," Bailey stated this Friday.

High Stakes for Nvidia Amid Big Tech Spending Spree

Among Nvidia's most significant clientele are titans of the tech industry, including Meta Platforms Inc., Microsoft Corp., Amazon.com Inc., and Alphabet Inc. These companies have signaled intentions to either sustain their current capital expenditure levels or ramp them up throughout the current year, showcasing their faith in and commitment to AI technology and its associated hardware.

Following a turbulent period for AI hardware stocks leading up to the initial week of Big Tech earnings reports, Nvidia’s stock has shown signs of resurgence. Since April 19th, the shares have climbed a substantial 17%. Nevertheless, the stock is currently valued at roughly 7% below its peak from March. The market’s lofty expectations are evident from the stock activity of other AI hardware makers that have witnessed declines after reporting strong earnings.

Nvidia Corp's Image

Advanced Micro Devices Inc., a fierce competitor in the chipmaking arena, saw almost a 9% slide in its shares on May 1, despite a bullish revision of their sales forecast for AI accelerators to $4 billion from an earlier prediction of $3.5 billion. Furthermore, Super Micro Computer Inc., a server manufacturer whose shares have soared beyond 170% this year, experienced a 14% drop post-earnings report. Even though the report featured revenue and profits forecasts that significantly beat average analyst estimates, investor reactions were muted.

Tech Earnings Are Soaring, but Stock Responses Are Muted

With around 80% of S&P 500 companies having reported their earnings, the technology and communication services sectors have distinguished themselves, surpassing profit expectations remarkably. Approximately 90% of these companies have exceeded earnings estimates, a figure that stands well above the average for the S&P 500 benchmark, as per data compiled by Bloomberg.

However, despite these stellar financial performances, the impact on stock prices has been limited following a rally that propelled the tech-dominated Nasdaq 100 Stock Index upwards by 37% over the past year. In terms of stock price movement the day after earnings are released, both the technology sector and communication services have found themselves languishing at the bottom of the S&P 500 sectors. The average move for tech stocks is a decline of 1.5%, while shares in communications have dropped by 2.7%.

For more insights, visit Nvidia Shares Go on a $290 Billion Tear as Clients Splurge on AI.

Solita Marcelli of UBS maintains an optimistic outlook on the AI computing stock segment. With combined capital expenditures from Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon expected to surpass $200 billion this year, reflecting a $20 billion increase from previous estimates, the investment case for generative AI remains robust. "We are encouraged by many positives in tech fundamentals during the first-quarter reporting season, which in our view continue to support the investment case for generative artificial intelligence," said Marcelli, chief investment officer Americas at UBS Financial Services.

Tech Titan Tidbits

In other notable developments in the tech world:

  • At the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. in Omaha on Saturday, chairman Warren Buffett lavished praise on Apple Inc., shortly after revealing that he had reduced his stake in the company.
  • Jack Dorsey, the former CEO of Twitter, stepped down from the board of the social networking service Bluesky, which he advocated and funded over the past year, following his reflection on the sale of Twitter to Elon Musk.
  • Hon Hai Precision Industry Co.'s stock prices leapt to record highs after announcing its strongest monthly sales growth since the inception of 2023, potentially escalating expectations for iPhone and AI server sales.
  • The film industry witnessed a surprise as Apollo Global Management Inc. and Sony Group Corp. introduced a $26 billion offer, which complicated ongoing discussions between Paramount Global and film producer David Ellison.
  • Elon Musk's social network, X, will begin to summarize news events within the app, leveraging xAI’s chatbot, Grok, to assist users.
  • In a move signaling further interest in the U.S. market, Beijing Momenta Technology Co., a Chinese autonomous driving company, has filed confidentially for an IPO in the United States, based on information provided by sources close to the matter.

Coming Up: Earnings Watch

Keep an eye out for the following earnings reports arriving on Monday:

Premarket

  • Model N

Postmarket

  • Palantir
  • Lucid
  • Microchip
  • Coherent Corp
  • Fabrinet
  • Varonis Systems
  • Teradata
  • Lumentum
  • Zeta
  • Ultra Clean
  • SEMrush
  • Matterport
  • Adeia Inc
  • Adtran Holdings

Investors are carefully monitoring these forthcoming earnings declarations, looking for any signs that can provide a deeper understanding of the direction in which the technology sector may be headed in the upcoming period.

Concluding Thoughts

The impressive earnings reports from some of the world's leading technology corporations have painted a promising picture for the sector. And yet, the weight of expectations seems to be taming the usual fervor that accompanies such financial accomplishments. With Nvidia's earnings report right around the corner, investors hold their breath, waiting to see if the company can sustain the trend or exceed the high bar set by its peers. As the market trends wax and wane, the tech industry is a testament to the ever-evolving investor sentiments in the dynamic landscape of artificial intelligence and its growing influence over the global economy.

©2024 Bloomberg L.P.

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